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Alcoa — Jan 22, 2026 release

Fiscal 2025 fourth-quarter results · 8-K Item 2.02 · Exhibit 99.1 · 0001193125-26-019438
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Ministerial decisions on Australia mine approvals
“by the end of 2026”
Period
No period stated
Measure
Company-defined measure
Source
Prose
All guidance in this release · 8
Ministerial decisions on Australia mine appr…
“by the end of 2026”
Total Alumina segment production for FY2026
“range between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons”
Alumina segment shipments for FY2026
“11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons”
Total Aluminum segment production for FY2026
“range between 2.4 and 2.6 million metric tons”
Aluminum segment shipments for FY2026
“2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential u… for Q1 FY2026
“$30 million”
Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential … for Q1 FY2026
“$70 million”
Operational tax expense for Q1 FY2026
“$65 million to $75 million”
Exhibit 99.1 · the passage around this item
… earlier in the release
These activities include the mine plan for the next major mine regions (Myara North and Holyoake) and the rolling five-year mine plan (2023-2027) referred to the WA EPA in 2023 by a third party. The Company is committed to continuing to work collaboratively with stakeholders to achieve Ministerial decisions by the end of 2026.       3   2026 Outlook The Company does not provide reconciliations of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income, including transformation, intersegment eliminations and other corporate Adjusted EBITDA; operational tax expense; and other expense; each excluding special items, to the most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because it is impractical to forecast certain special items, such as restructuring charges and mark-to-market contracts, without unreasonable efforts due to the variability and complexity associated with predicting the occurrence and financial impact of such special items. For the same reasons, the Company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results. Alcoa expects 2026 total Alumina segment production to range between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons, an increase from 2025 due to productivity improvements. In 2026, alumina shipments are expected to be between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons. The difference between production and shipments, which decreased from 2025, reflects trading volumes and externally so
later in the release …
the item shown at left
other guidance in this release
Text is the filed exhibit, verbatim.