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Guidance history, every release

American Electric Power (AEP) · 8 releases, Nov 6, 2024 to Jul 30, 2026 · rows are metrics, columns are releases
Raised · a change from the previous releaseSame · restated unchanged— · not stated in that releaseEvery value links to its sentence in the filing
MetricNov 6, 2024
FY24 Q3
Feb 13, 2025
FY24 Q4
May 6, 2025
FY25 Q1
Jul 30, 2025
FY25 Q2
Oct 29, 2025
FY25 Q3
Feb 12, 2026
FY25 Q4
May 5, 2026
FY26 Q1
Jul 30, 2026
FY26 Q2
For FY2035
Additional turbine capacity under evaluation———————New“up to 10 GW”
For FY2030
Expected annual rate-base growth——————New“nearly 11%”—
Incremental customer load agreements———New“24 gigawatts”————
Incremental load——————New“63 gigawatts”—
Incremental load growth (signed agreements)—————New“56 GW”——
Load additions————New“28 gigawatts (GW)”———
New load additions——————New“63 gigawatts”—
New load additions (contracted load growth)———————New“69 gigawatts (GW)”
Peak load———New“more than 60 gigawatts”————
Peak system demand————New“65 GW”———
Rate base————New“$128 billion”———
Rate base compounded annual growth rate————New“10%”———
For FY2028
Annual operating earnings growth (later years of plan)————New“at or above the high end of the range”———
For FY2026
Estimated GAAP EPS——————New“$6.12 to $6.42”Raised“$6.16 to $6.46”
Estimated GAAP EPS reflecting certain items recorded through the first quarter——————New“$6.12 to $6.42 per share”—
Operating earnings——————New“$6.15 to $6.45 per share”Raised“$6.25 to $6.55 per share”
Operating earnings————New“$6.15 to $6.45 per share”Reiterated“$6.15 to $6.45 per share”——
Operating EPS——————New“$6.15 to $6.45”—
Annual rate-base growth——————New“nearly 11%”—
Equity settlement under forward contract——New“$2.3 billion”—————
Opportunities identified for incremental investment beyond five-year capital plan—————New“$5 billion to $8 billion”——
Total transmission investment——————New“$33 billion”—
Total transmission investment as percentage of five-year capital plan——————New“42%”—
For FY2025
Estimated earnings per share on a GAAP basis——New“$5.71 to $5.91 per share”—————
Estimated EPS on a GAAP basis———New“$6.57 to $6.77”Raised“$6.58 to $6.78”———
Operating earnings————New“$5.75 to $5.95 per share”———
Operating earnings———New“$5.75 to $5.95 per share”————
Operating earningsNew“$5.75 to $5.95 per share”———————
Operating earnings (non-GAAP)——New“$5.75 to $5.95 per share”—————
Operating earnings (non-GAAP)—New“$5.75 to $5.95 per share”——————
Operating earnings positioning———New“guiding to the upper half of that range”Revised“upper half of the range”———
Operating EPS——New“$5.75 to $5.95”Reiterated“$5.75 to $5.95”Reiterated“$5.75 to $5.95”———
Transmission business contribution to operating earnings——New“55%”—————
Annual total retail load growth——New“8% to 9%”—————
Annual total retail load growth—New“8-9%”——————
Capital investmentNew“$54 billion”———————
Direct tariff exposure on capital plan——New“approximately 0.3%”—————
For FY2024
Estimated earnings per share on a GAAP basisNew“$5.55 to $5.65 per share”———————
Operating earnings (non-GAAP)New“$5.58 to $5.68 per share”———————
Operating earnings (non-GAAP) midpointNew“$5.63”———————
Operating EPSNew“$5.58 to $5.68”———————
Federal EPA Coal Combustion Residuals RuleNew“0.21”———————
Provision for Refund - Turk PlantNew“0.24”———————
Remeasurement of Excess ADIT Regulatory LiabilityNew“(0.09)”———————
SEC Matter Loss ContingencyNew“0.04”———————
Severance ChargesNew“0.18”———————
No period stated
Annual operating earnings growth rate——————New“7% to 9%”Reiterated“7% to 9%”
Estimated earnings per share on a GAAP basis———————New“$6.16 to $6.46 per share”
Expected operating earnings CAGR——————New“greater than 9%”—
Long-term EPS growth rate—New“6% to 8%”——————
Long-term operating earnings growth rate———New“6% to 8%”Raised“7-9%”Reiterated“7% to 9%”——
Operating earnings CAGR———————New“greater than 9%”
Operating earnings compound annual growth rate (CAGR)——————New“greater than 9%”Reiterated“greater than 9%”
Operating earnings per share compounded annual growth rate————New“9%”———
Operating earnings per share growth————New“9% compounded annual growth rate”———
Additional investment potential——————New“over $10 billion”—
Additional investments——New“$10 billion”—————
Additional potential investments——New“an additional $10 billion of investments”—————
Additional transmission and generation projects—————New“$5 billion to $8 billion”——
Capital investment planNew“$54 billion”—Reiterated“$54 billion”Reiterated“$54 billion”———Raised“$78 billion”
Capital plan—New“$54 billion”——Raised“$72 billion”———
Capital plan dedicated to distribution network————New“$17 billion”———
Commercial and industrial load additions (financial agreements from customers)New“20 gigawatts”———————
Commercial load growthNew“grow an average of 20% annually”———————
Cost offsets for existing customers——————New“up to $16 billion”—
Customer savings from loans and grants——————New“nearly $600 million”—
Distribution and transmission investments within capital plan——New“$34 billion”—————
Distribution investment————New“$17 billion”———
Expected cost offsets from load growth———————New“up to $16 billion”
Expected customer savings from federal loan guarantees and grants———————New“$1.4 billion”
Expected savings in interest costs from DOE loan———————New“$685 million”
FFO/Debt target—New“14% to 15%”——————
FFO/Debt target—New“14% to 15%”——————
Five-year capital investment plan—————New“$72 billion”——
Five-year capital planNew“$54 billion”Reiterated“$54 billion”——Raised“$72 billion”—Raised“$78 billion”Reiterated“$78 billion”
Generation investment————New“more than $20 billion”———
Incremental capital investments (line of sight)———————New“more than $10 billion”
Investment in generation resources————New“more than $20 billion”———
Investment in transmission assets————New“$30 billion”———
Line of sight to additional investment potential beyond the capital plan——————New“over $10 billion”—
Long-term growth rateNew“6% to 8%”—Reiterated“6% to 8%”—————
New five-year capital plan———New“approximately $70 billion”————
New load—New“more than 20 gigawatts”——————
New load to be served—New“more than 20 gigawatts”——————
New power demand expected——New“over 20 gigawatts”—————
Potential incremental investment under evaluation—New“$10 billion”——————
Projected customer savings through lower interest costs———————New“nearly $1 billion”
SPP 765-kV transmission lines planned——————New“315 miles”—
Transmission company transaction——New“$2.82 billion”—————
Transmission investment————New“$30 billion”—Raised“$33 billion”—
Values in quotation marks are the company’s words. Change labels compare each statement with the same metric and target year in the previous release. HighGravityData does not judge whether guidance was met.