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Ford Motor / Full history

Guidance history, every release

Ford Motor (F) · 8 releases, Feb 5, 2025 to Oct 2, 2026 · rows are metrics, columns are releases
Raised · a change from the previous releaseSame · restated unchanged— · not stated in that releaseEvery value links to its sentence in the filing
MetricFeb 5, 2025
FY24 Q4
May 5, 2025
FY25 Q1
Jul 30, 2025
FY25 Q2
Oct 23, 2025
FY25 Q3
Feb 10, 2026
FY25 Q4
Apr 29, 2026
FY26 Q1
Jul 28, 2026
FY26 Q2
Oct 2, 2026
FY26 Q3
For FY2029
Adjusted EBIT margin target————New“8% adjusted EBIT margin”———
For FY2026
Ford Credit earnings before taxes——————New“above $2.5 billion”—
Adjusted EBIT—————New“$8.5 billion to $10.5 billion”Raised“$10.0 billion to $11.0 billion”Reiterated“$10.0 billion to $11.0 billion”
Adjusted free cash flow—————New“$5.0 billion to $6.0 billion”Raised“$6.0 billion to $7.0 billion”—
Adjusted free cash flow (Company)————New“$5.0 billion to $6.0 billion”———
Capital expenditures————New“$9.5 billion to $10.5 billion”Reiterated“$9.5 billion to $10.5 billion”Reiterated“$9.5 billion to $10.5 billion”—
Capital expenditures for Ford Energy—————New“$1.5 billion”——
Capital expenditures for Ford Energy ramp————New“around $1.5 billion”———
Capital expenditures to begin ramping Ford Energy————New“around $1.5 billion”———
Cash recovery of IEEPA reimbursement——————New“approximately $500 million”—
Commodity Headwinds—————New“about $2 billion”——
Company adjusted EBIT————New“$8.0 billion to $10.0 billion”———
Ford Blue EBIT—————New“$4.5 billion to $5.0 billion”Raised“$5.0 billion to $5.5 billion”—
Ford Credit EBT————New“about $2.5 billion”Reiterated“about $2.5 billion”——
Ford Model e incremental investment (UEV platform and Ford Energy)——————New“about $1 billion”—
Ford Model e loss——————New“approximately $4.0 billion”—
Ford Model e loss outlook————New“$4.0 billion to $4.5 billion”———
Ford Model e losses—————New“$4.0 billion to $4.5 billion”——
Ford Pro EBIT—————New“$6.5 billion to $7.5 billion”Narrowed“$7.0 billion to $7.5 billion”—
Ford Pro EBIT outlook————New“$6.5 billion to $7.5 billion”———
IEEPA tariff benefit (one-time)—————New“$1.3 billion”——
Incremental investment in Model e (UEV platform and Ford Energy)—————New“about $1 billion”——
Industry Pricing—————New“flat”——
Investment in Universal EV and Ford Energy——————New“approximately $1 billion”—
Material and warranty cost reductions—————New“$1 billion”Reiterated“approximately $1 billion”—
Mitigation of Novelis-related adjusted EBIT headwind———New“at least $1.0 billion”————
Novelis recovery improvement—————New“net $1 billion”——
Novelis year-over-year impact——————New“about $1 billion”—
Regular dividend——————New“15 cents per share”—
Regular dividend——————New“15 cents per share”—
Regular dividend—————New“15 cents per share”——
Regular Dividend—————New“15 cents per share”——
Tariff Impacts (excluding IEEPA benefit and Novelis temporary costs)—————New“about $1 billion”——
U.S. industry net pricing——————New“up about 0.5%”—
U.S. SAAR—————New“16.0 million to 16.5 million”Reiterated“16.0 million to 16.5 million units”—
For FY2025
Ford Credit earnings before taxesNew“about $2.0 billion”———————
Adjusted EBIT—New“$7 billion to $8.5 billion”—Lowered“$6.0 billion to $6.5 billion”————
Adjusted EBIT——New“$6.5 billion to $7.5 billion”—————
Adjusted EBITNew“roughly breakeven”———————
Adjusted EBIT headwind (Novelis fire)———New“$1.5 billion to $2 billion”————
Adjusted free cash flow———New“$2.0 billion to $3.0 billion”————
Adjusted free cash flow——New“$3.5 billion to $4.5 billion”—————
Adjusted free cash flow headwind (Novelis fire)———New“about $2 billion to $3 billion”————
Adjusted free cash flow headwind due to Novelis fire (fourth quarter)———New“about $2 billion to $3 billion”————
Capital expendituresNew“$8.0 billion to $9.0 billion”—Raised“about $9 billion”Reiterated“about $9 billion”————
Capital spending——New“about $9 billion”Reiterated“about $9 billion”————
Company adjusted EBITNew“$7.0 billion to $8.5 billion”——Lowered“$6 billion to $6.5 billion”————
Company adjusted free cash flowNew“$3.5 billion to $4.5 billion”———————
Expected Novelis headwind———New“$1.0 billion or less”————
Ford Blue EBITNew“$3.5 billion to $4.0 billion”———————
Ford Model e EBIT lossNew“$5.0 billion to $5.5 billion”———————
Ford Pro EBITNew“$7.5 billion to $8.0 billion”———————
Net tariff-related headwind——New“about $2 billion”—————
Novelis-related adjusted EBIT headwind———New“$1.5 billion to $2.0 billion”————
Novelis-related adjusted EBIT headwind (fourth quarter)———New“$1.5 billion to $2 billion”————
Regular dividend———New“15 cents per share”————
Regular dividend——New“15 cents per share”—————
Regular dividendNew“$0.15 per share”———————
Regular dividendNew“$0.15 per share”———————
Regular dividend per share——New“15 cents per share”—————
Supplemental dividendNew“$0.15 per share”———————
Tariff-related net adverse adjusted EBIT impact—New“about $1.5 billion”——————
No period stated
Planned job creation to increase F-Series production volume———New“up to 1,000 jobs”————
Values in quotation marks are the company’s words. Change labels compare each statement with the same metric and target year in the previous release. HighGravityData does not judge whether guidance was met.