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Guidance history, every release

Match Group (MTCH) · 8 releases, Nov 6, 2024 to Aug 4, 2026 · rows are metrics, columns are releases

Raised · a change from the previous releaseSame · restated unchanged— · not stated in that releaseEvery value links to its sentence in the filing

Metric	Nov 6, 2024 FY24 Q3	Feb 4, 2025 FY24 Q4	May 8, 2025 FY25 Q1	Aug 5, 2025 FY25 Q2	Nov 4, 2025 FY25 Q3	Feb 3, 2026 FY25 Q4	May 5, 2026 FY26 Q1	Aug 4, 2026 FY26 Q2
For FY2027
Hinge revenue	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$1 billion”
For FY2026
Revenue	—	—	—	—	—	New“$850 to $860”	—	—
Total Revenue	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$885 to $895 million, down 2% to 3% Y/Y”
Total Revenue	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$850 to $860 million”	—
Total Revenue	—	—	—	—	—	New“$850 to $860 million, up 2% to 3% Y/Y”	—	—
Total Revenue	—	—	—	—	—	New“$3,410 to $3,535 million”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$330 to $335 million, representing a Y/Y increase of 10% at the mid-point of the range”
Adjusted EBITDA	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$325 to $330 million”	—
Adjusted EBITDA	—	—	—	—	—	New“$315 to $320 million, representing a Y/Y increase of 15% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA	—	—	—	—	—	New“$1,280 to $1,325 million”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin	—	—	—	—	—	New“37% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin	—	—	—	—	—	New“37.5% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“38 %”	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	New“37%”	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (at the mid-points of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“37 %”
Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$175 to $180”
Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$160 to $165”	—
Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders	—	—	—	—	—	New“$160 to $165”	—	—
Net Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“20 %”
Net Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“19 %”	—
Net Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	—	New“19%”	—	—
Capital expenditures	—	—	—	—	—	New“(55 to 65)”	—	—
Cash dividend per share	—	—	—	—	—	New“$0.20 per share of the company's common stock, representing a 5% increase from our prior quarterly dividend”	—	Reiterated“$0.20 per share”
Dividend per share	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“$0.20 per share”	—
Dividend per share	—	—	—	—	New“$0.19”	—	—	—
Free Cash Flow	—	—	—	—	—	New“$1,085 to $1,135 million”	—	—
Net cash provided by operating activities	—	—	—	—	—	New“$1,150 to $1,190”	—	—
Savings from alternative payments rollout	—	—	—	—	New“roughly $90 million”	—	—	—
Tinder Events city count	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“26 cities around the world”
For FY2025
Revenue	—	—	New“$850 to $860”	Raised“$910 to $920”	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue	—	—	—	—	New“$865 to $875 million”	—	—	—
Total Revenue	—	—	—	New“$910 to $920 million, up 2% to 3% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue	—	—	New“$850 to $860 million, down 2% to flat Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue	—	New“$820 to $830 million, down 3% to 5% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue	—	New“$3,375 to $3,500 million, down 3% to up 1% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue, on an FXN basis and excluding Hakuna and other of our live streaming services	—	New“flat to up 1% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue, on an FXN basis and excluding Hakuna and other of our live streaming services	—	New“flat to up 4% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA	—	—	—	—	New“$350 to $355 million”	—	—	—
Adjusted EBITDA Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	New“41%”	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income	—	—	—	New“$330 to $335 million, down 3% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income	—	New“$1,232 to $1,278 million”	Lowered“$295 to $300”	Raised“$330 to $335”	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income	—	—	New“$295 to $300 million, down 4% to down 2% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income	—	New“$260 to $265 million, down 5% to 7% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income Margin	—	—	—	New“approximately 36% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income Margin	—	—	New“approximately 35% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	New“36.5%”	Lowered“35 %”	Raised“36%”	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	New“32%”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Net income attributable to Match Group, Inc. shareholders	—	—	—	—	New“$159 to $164”	—	—	—
Net Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	—	—	—	New“19%”	—	—	—
Operating Income	—	New“$802 to $828”	Lowered“$195 to $200”	Raised“$241 to $246”	—	—	—	—
Operating Income	—	New“$155 to $160”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	New“24%”	Lowered“23 %”	Raised“27%”	—	—	—	—
Operating Income Margin (at the mid-point of the ranges)	—	New“19%”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Capital expenditures	—	New“$45 to $55 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cash dividend per share	—	New“$0.19”	Reiterated“$0.19 per share”	Reiterated“$0.19”	—	—	—	—
Effective income tax rate	—	New“low-20%s”	—	—	—	—	—	—
FCF	—	New“$1,000 million to $1,030 million, representing ~81% FCF conversion of AOI at the mid-point of the ranges”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Free Cash Flow	—	New“$1,000 to $1,030”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Net cash provided by operating activities	—	New“$1,055 to $1,075”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Reduction of diluted shares outstanding	—	New“5% to 7%”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Reinvestment of savings in strategic initiatives	—	—	—	New“approximately $50 million”	—	—	—	—
Savings from alternative payments rollout	—	—	—	—	New“approximately $14 million”	—	—	—
Stock-based compensation expense	—	—	New“71”	Lowered“63”	—	—	—	—
Stock-based compensation expense	—	New“$305 to $315 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Stock-based compensation expense	—	New“70”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total capital return to shareholders (dividends and share repurchases)	—	New“at least 100% of FCF”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Use of FCF for share repurchases	—	New“at least 75%”	—	—	—	—	—	—
Use of FCF for share repurchases and shareholder returns	—	New“Use of at least 75% of FCF for share repurchases and to target returning at least 100% of FCF to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases”	—	—	—	—	—	—
For FY2024
Direct Revenue (other brands)	New“$370 to $375 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Hinge Direct Revenue	New“approximately $145 million, representing ~25% Y/Y growth”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Indirect Revenue	New“approximately $15 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Match Group Total Revenue	New“$865 million to $875 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Other brands Direct Revenue	New“$370 to $375 million, representing 3% to 5% Y/Y growth”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tinder Direct Revenue	New“$480 to $485 million, down 2% to 3% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue	New“$865 to $870 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Total Revenue, excluding revenue from the now-exited Hakuna and other of our live streaming services from the prior year quarter	New“up 2% to 3% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income	New“$335 to $340 million”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Adjusted Operating Income Margin	New“39% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Match Group AOI margin	New“39% at the midpoints of the ranges”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Operating income	New“$235 to $240”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
AOI	New“down 6% to 7% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
AOI growth Y/Y	New“down 6% to 7% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
AOI growth Y/Y, excluding the $40 million escrow refund as a result of the settlement of the Google litigation in Q4'23	New“up 4% to 6% Y/Y”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Match Group AOI	New“$335 to $340 million, including approximately $7 million in employee severance and similar charges and the Canada Digital Services Tax”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tinder Payers	New“mid-single-digit Y/Y declines”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tinder RPP	New“modest improvements”	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
No period stated
Annualized cost savings from Archer wind-down	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“approximately $10 million”	—
Annualized cost savings from folding MG Asia into E&E	—	—	—	—	—	—	New“roughly $15 million”	—
Cash dividend	—	New“$0.19 per share”	Reiterated“$0.19 per share”	Reiterated“$0.19 per share”	Reiterated“$0.19 per share”	Raised“$0.20 per share”	Reiterated“$0.20 per share”	Reiterated“$0.20 per share”
Quarterly dividend increase	—	—	—	—	—	New“a 5% increase”	—	—
Share repurchase program	—	New“up to $1.5 billion”	—	—	—	—	—	—

Values in quotation marks are the company’s words. Change labels compare each statement with the same metric and target year in the previous release. HighGravityData does not judge whether guidance was met.