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Netflix / Full history

Guidance history, every release

Netflix (NFLX) · 8 releases, Oct 17, 2024 to Jul 16, 2026 · rows are metrics, columns are releases
Raised · a change from the previous releaseSame · restated unchanged— · not stated in that releaseEvery value links to its sentence in the filing
MetricOct 17, 2024
FY24 Q3
Jan 21, 2025
FY24 Q4
Apr 11, 2025
FY25 Q1
Jul 17, 2025
FY25 Q2
Oct 21, 2025
FY25 Q3
Jan 20, 2026
FY25 Q4
Apr 10, 2026
FY26 Q1
Jul 16, 2026
FY26 Q2
For FY2026
Ad revenue growth—————New“a projected rough doubling of ad revenue in 2026 vs. 2025”——
Ads revenue———————New“approximately $3 billion”
Advertising revenue——————New“$3B”—
Forecasted revenue range———————New“$51.0-$51.4B”
Revenue———————New“$ 12,860”
Revenue——————New“$50.7-$51.7B”—
Revenue——————New“$12,574”—
Revenue—————New“$ 12,157”——
Revenue forecast———————New“$51.0-$51.4B”
Revenue forecast—————New“$50.7B-$51.7B”——
Acquisition-related expenses included in margin forecast—————New“approximately $275M”——
Diluted EPS———————New“$ 0.82”
Diluted EPS——————New“$0.78”—
Diluted EPS—————New“$ 0.76”——
Net Income———————New“$ 3,452”
Net Income——————New“$3,327”—
Net Income—————New“$ 3,264”——
Operating Income———————New“$ 4,268”
Operating Income——————New“$4,105”—
Operating Income—————New“$ 3,906”——
Operating income growth———————New“20%+”
Operating margin——————New“31.5%”Reiterated“31.5%”
Operating margin———————New“33.2%”
Operating margin——————New“32.6%”—
Operating margin——————New“year-over-year operating margin growth in Q3 and Q4 in order to deliver our 2026 margin target”—
Operating Margin—————New“32.1 %”——
Operating margin target—————New“31.5%”——
Ad formats testable————New“dozens of ad formats”———
Annual cash content spend to amortization ratio——————New“~1.1x”Reiterated“~1.1x”
Cash content spend to amortization ratio——————New“~1.1x”Reiterated“~1.1x”
Cash content spend to content amortization ratio—————New“~1.1x”——
Content amortization growth———————New“~10%”
Content amortization growth—————New“~10%”——
Debt maturing———————New“$1B”
Debt maturing to be refinanced———————New“$1B”
FCF———————New“approximately $12.5B”
FCF——————New“approximately $12.5B”—
Free cash flow——————New“approximately $12.5B”Reiterated“approximately $12.5B”
Free cash flow forecast—————New“roughly $11B”——
Live programming share of content spend———————New“just over 5% of our content spend”
Live programming share of view hours———————New“only ~1% of view hours”
Share buybacks—————New“we’ll pause our share buybacks to accumulate cash to help fund the pending acquisition of Warner Bros.”——
Share repurchase authorization remaining——————New“$6.8B”—
Y/Y % Growth———————New“11.7 %”
Y/Y % Growth——————New“13.5%”—
Y/Y % Growth—————New“15.3 %”——
For FY2025
Ad revenue—New“a rough doubling”Reiterated“a rough doubling”—————
Ads revenue growth———New“roughly double ads revenue”Revised“more than double”———
RevenueNew“$43B-$44B”Raised“$43.5-$44.5B”Reiterated“$43.5-$44.5B”—Raised“$45.1B”———
Revenue————New“$45.1B in revenue (16% growth, 17% on an F/X neutral basis)”———
Revenue————New“$ 11,960”———
Revenue———New“$11,526”————
Revenue——New“$ 11,035”—————
Revenue—New“$10,416”——————
Revenue forecast———New“$44.8B-$45.2B”————
Revenue growthNew“growth of 11%-13% off of our 2024 revenue guidance of $38.9B”———————
Revenue growth (reported)———New“15%-16% year-over-year growth”————
Revenue Y/Y Growth—New“12%-14%”——————
Diluted EPS————New“$ 5.45”———
Diluted EPS———New“$6.87”————
Diluted EPS——New“$ 7.03”—————
Diluted EPS—New“$5.58”——————
Net Income————New“$ 2,355”———
Net Income———New“$2,979”————
Net Income——New“$ 3,055”—————
Net Income—New“$2,440”——————
Operating Income————New“$ 2,860”———
Operating Income———New“$3,625”————
Operating Income——New“$ 3,675”—————
Operating Income—New“$2,940”——————
Operating margin————New“23.9%, a two percentage point year over year improvement”———
Operating margin————New“29% (both reported and based on F/X rates as of 1/1/25)”———
Operating marginNew“28%”Raised“29%, up one point from our prior forecast”Reiterated“29%”—————
Operating Margin———New“31%, a two percentage point year-over-year improvement”————
Operating Margin——New“33%, a ~6 percentage point year-over-year improvement”—————
Operating Margin—New“28.2%”——————
Operating Margin (F/X neutral)———New“29.5%”Lowered“29%”———
Operating margin (reported basis)———New“30%”————
Operating margin year-over-year improvement——New“a ~6 percentage point year-over-year improvement”—————
Ad tech platform launchNew“more broadly in 2025”———————
Bond Repayment—New“$1.8B”——————
Cash content spend—New“roughly $18B”——————
Cash outflows related to tax deposit timing—New“$800M”——————
Cash outflows related to timing of certain direct and indirect tax deposits—New“an estimated $800M”——————
Content amortization growth expectation———New“high single digit growth”————
Debt maturities to pay down—New“$1.8B”——————
FCF—New“about $8B”——————
Free cash flow—New“about $8B”Reiterated“about $8B”—Raised“approximately $9B (+/- a few hundred million dollars)”———
Free cash flow forecast———New“$8B-$8.5B”————
Spain programming investment———New“over one billion Euros”————
Y/Y % Growth————New“16.7 %”———
Y/Y % Growth———New“17.3%”————
Y/Y % Growth——New“15.4 %”—————
Y/Y % Growth—New“11.2%”——————
For FY2024
RevenueNew“$38.9B”———————
RevenueNew“$10,128”———————
Diluted EPSNew“$4.23”———————
Net IncomeNew“$1,847”———————
Operating IncomeNew“$2,190”———————
Operating marginNew“27% (vs 26% previously)”———————
Operating marginNew“22%, a five percentage point year-over-year improvement”———————
Ad tech platform launchNew“on track to launch in Canada in Q4”———————
FCFNew“$6.0B-$6.5B”———————
Free Cash FlowNew“$6.0B-$6.5B”———————
Free cash flow (FCF)New“$6.0B-$6.5B (assuming no material swings in F/X rates), up from approximately $6B”———————
Y/Y % GrowthNew“14.7%”———————
No period stated
Long-term operating margin goal—————New“our intent is to grow our operating margin each year”——
Fort Monmouth, NJ production facility investment———New“roughly $1B”————
Incremental Share Repurchase Authorization—New“$15B”——————
Long-term financial priorities——————New“sustain healthy revenue growth, expand operating profit and margin, and deliver growing free cash flow”—
Remaining share repurchase authorization————New“$10.1B remaining under our existing share repurchase authorization”———
Share repurchase authorization———————New“an additional $25B”
Share repurchase program—New“an incremental $15B”——————
Total buyback authorization—New“$17.1B”——————
Total Buyback Authorization—New“$17.1B”——————
Values in quotation marks are the company’s words. Change labels compare each statement with the same metric and target year in the previous release. HighGravityData does not judge whether guidance was met.