Alcoa — Oct 22, 2025 release
Fiscal 2025 third-quarter results · 8-K Item 2.02 · Exhibit 99.1 · 0001193125-25-246788
Showing in the filing
Ministerial decisions (Australia mine approvals)
“expected by the end of 2026”
Period
No period stated
Measure
Company-defined measure
Source
Prose
All guidance in this release · 12
Massena smelter capital investment in anode …
“approximately $60 million”
WA EPA assessment and recommendations public…
“by June 2026”
Ministerial decisions (Australia mine approv…
“expected by the end of 2026”
Total Alumina segment production for FY2025
“ranging between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons”
Total Alumina segment shipments for FY2025
“between 13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons”
Total Aluminum segment production for FY2025
“ranging between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons”
Total Aluminum segment shipments for FY2025
“between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons”
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential f… for Q4 FY2025
“approximately $80 million”
Aluminum segment sequential unfavorable impa… for Q4 FY2025
“approximately $20 million”
Tariff costs on higher U.S. imports of alumi… for Q4 FY2025
“approximately $50 million”
Alumina costs in the Aluminum segment, seque… for Q4 FY2025
“approximately $45 million”
Operational tax expense for Q4 FY2025
“$40 million to $50 million”
Exhibit 99.1 · the passage around this item
… earlier in the release
Following the Company’s response to any clarifications requested by the WA EPA, the Company expects that the WA EPA will publish its assessment and recommendations by June 2026. An appeals process of the assessment and recommendations will follow ahead of Ministerial decisions which are expected by the end of 2026.
2
2025 Outlook The following outlook does not include reconciliations of the forward-looking non-GAAP financial measures Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Income, including transformation, intersegment eliminations and other corporate Adjusted EBITDA; operational tax expense; and other expense; each excluding special items, to the most directly comparable forward-looking GAAP financial measures because it is impractical to forecast certain special items, such as restructuring charges and mark-to-market contracts, without unreasonable efforts due to the variability and complexity associated with predicting the occurrence and financial impact of such special items. For the same reasons, the Company is unable to address the probable significance of the unavailable information, which could be material to future results. Alcoa expects 2025 total Alumina segment production and shipments to remain unchanged from its prior projection, ranging between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons, and between 13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons, respectively. The difference between production and shipments reflects trading volumes and externally sourced alumina to fulfill customer contracts due
later in the release …
the item shown at left
other guidance in this release
Text is the filed exhibit, verbatim.