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Alcoa / Full history

Guidance history, every release

Alcoa (AA) · 8 releases, Jan 22, 2025 to Oct 15, 2026 · rows are metrics, columns are releases
Raised · a change from the previous releaseSame · restated unchanged— · not stated in that releaseEvery value links to its sentence in the filing
MetricJan 22, 2025
FY24 Q4
Apr 16, 2025
FY25 Q1
Jul 16, 2025
FY25 Q2
Oct 22, 2025
FY25 Q3
Jan 22, 2026
FY25 Q4
Apr 16, 2026
FY26 Q1
Jul 16, 2026
FY26 Q2
Oct 15, 2026
FY26 Q3
For FY2026
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential favorable net impacts——————New“approximately $10 million”—
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential unfavorable impacts—————New“approximately $15 million”——
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential unfavorable impacts————New“$30 million”———
Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA——————New“favorable impacts from efficiencies at higher production rates to fully offset higher carbon prices and seasonally lower third-party energy sales in Brazil”—
Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential favorable impacts—————New“approximately $55 million”——
Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential unfavorable impacts————New“$70 million”———
Aluminum Segment Adjusted EBITDA unfavorable impacts (higher raw material costs and planned maintenance) sequentially———————New“approximately $30 million”
Alumina costs in Aluminum segment sequential favorable impact—————New“approximately $20 million”——
Alumina costs in Aluminum segment sequential unfavorable impact——————New“approximately $10 million”—
Alumina costs in the Aluminum segment, unfavorable sequentially———————New“approximately $30 million”
Alumina production projection——————New“range between 9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons”—
Alumina segment production——————New“9.5 and 9.6 million metric tons”Reiterated“9.5 to 9.6 million metric tons”
Alumina segment shipments————New“11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons”—Lowered“11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons”Reiterated“11.5 to 11.6 million metric tons”
Alumina shipments projection——————New“range between 11.5 and 11.6 million metric tons”—
Aluminum segment production———————New“2.4 to 2.6 million metric tons”
Aluminum segment shipments————New“2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”——Reiterated“2.6 to 2.8 million metric tons”
Interest expense———————New“$185 million”
Operational tax expense———————New“$65 million to $75 million”
Operational tax expense——————New“$80 million to $90 million”—
Operational tax expense—————New“$110 million to $120 million”——
Operational tax expense————New“$65 million to $75 million”———
Other income increase———————New“approximately $20 million”
San Ciprián smelter restart completion——New“the restart will be completed by mid-2026”—————
Section 232 tariff costs on U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada sequential decrease——————New“approximately $10 million”—
Section 232 tariff costs on U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada sequential increase—————New“approximately $35 million”——
Total Alumina segment production————New“range between 9.7 and 9.9 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 9.7 to 9.9 million metric tons”——
Total Alumina segment shipments—————New“between 11.8 and 12.0 million metric tons”——
Total Aluminum segment production————New“range between 2.4 and 2.6 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 2.4 and 2.6 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 2.4 and 2.6 million metric tons”—
Total Aluminum segment shipments—————New“between 2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”Reiterated“between 2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”—
For FY2025
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA—New“expects to maintain the strong level of performance delivered in the first quarter 2025”——————
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential favorable impact (absence of asset retirement obligation charges, higher shipments, lower maintenance costs)———New“approximately $80 million”————
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential favorable impacts——New“approximately $20 million”—————
Alumina Segment Adjusted EBITDA sequential impact (favorable, from absence of inventory write-down charge)New“$30 million”———————
Alumina costs in Aluminum segment sequential favorable impact——New“approximately $100 million”—————
Alumina costs in Aluminum segment sequential favorable impact—New“$165 million”——————
Alumina costs in the Aluminum segment, sequential favorable impact———New“approximately $45 million”————
Alumina segment shipmentsNew“13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons”———————
Aluminum Segment restart costs for San Ciprián smelter—New“$15 million”——————
Aluminum segment sequential tariff impact——New“sequential unfavorable impacts of approximately $90 million”—————
Aluminum segment sequential unfavorable impact (San Ciprián restart inefficiencies, lower third-party energy sales, partially offset by higher shipments)———New“approximately $20 million”————
Aluminum Segment sequential unfavorable impact from U.S. Section 232 tariffs on imports of aluminum from Canada—New“$90 million”——————
Aluminum Segment sequential unfavorable impactsNew“$60 million”———————
Aluminum segment sequential unfavorable impacts (Section 232 tariffs)——New“approximately $90 million”—————
Aluminum segment shipmentsNew“2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”—Lowered“to range between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons”—————
Aluminum shipments projection——New“range between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons”—————
Contributions to ELYSIS (increase, triggers loss recognition)New“$25 million”———————
ELYSIS contributions sequential increaseNew“$25 million”———————
Gain from Ma'aden transaction——New“approximately $780 million”—————
Gain on Ma'aden joint venture sale——New“approximately $780 million”—————
Operational tax benefit—New“$50 million to $60 million”——————
Operational tax expense———New“$40 million to $50 million”————
Operational tax expense——New“$50 million to $60 million”—————
Operational tax expenseNew“$120 million to $130 million”———————
Other expenses——New“expects Other expenses for the third quarter 2025 to remain consistent with the second quarter 2025”—————
Other expenses for the second quarter 2025—New“increase approximately $10 million sequentially”——————
Other expenses for the third quarter 2025——New“remain consistent with the second quarter 2025”—————
Other expenses sequential increase—New“approximately $10 million”——————
Profitability improvement program targetNew“$645 million”———————
San Ciprián smelter cash used by operations——New“expected to approximate $110 million to $130 million”—————
San Ciprián smelter net loss (pre-tax and noncontrolling interest)——New“approximately $90 million to $110 million”—————
San Ciprián smelter net loss per common share——New“$0.35 to $0.42 per common share”—————
Tariff costs on higher U.S. imports of aluminum from Canada, sequential increase———New“approximately $50 million”————
Total Alumina segment productionNew“range between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 9.5 to 9.7 million metric tons”————
Total Alumina segment shipments—New“between 13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons”Reiterated“between 13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons”Reiterated“between 13.1 and 13.3 million metric tons”————
Total Aluminum segment productionNew“range between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons”Reiterated“ranging between 2.3 and 2.5 million metric tons”————
Total Aluminum segment shipments—New“between 2.6 and 2.8 million metric tons”—Lowered“between 2.5 and 2.6 million metric tons”————
No period stated
Massena smelter capital investment in anode baking furnace———New“approximately $60 million”————
Ministerial decisions (Australia mine approvals)———New“expected by the end of 2026”————
Ministerial decisions on Australia mine approvals————New“by the end of 2026”———
Mosjøen casthouse upgrade project commissioning and ramp-up——————New“scheduled to progress throughout 2028”—
San Ciprián smelter restart completion——New“completed by mid-2026”—————
WA EPA assessment and recommendations publication———New“by June 2026”————
Values in quotation marks are the company’s words. Change labels compare each statement with the same metric and target year in the previous release. HighGravityData does not judge whether guidance was met.